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Thursday, March 27, 2008
HSBC raises Israel Chemicals target
Asian economic and business calendar -- to April 10
... COMTEX News Network) -- Thursday March 27 -Japan weekly capital inflows -Hong Kong Feb trade ... unemployment Friday March 28 -Japan Feb CPI, Tokyo March CPI -Japan Feb unemployment rate -Japan ... condition -Malaysia Feb industrial output -Malaysia end-March forex reserves -Czech Feb foreign trade -US Alcoa ...
Non-U.S. Company Delistings From NYSE Soared in 2007
... The Competitive Position of the U.S. Public Equity Market (available at ). At that time, the ... the UK and France and 7 from Germany) and 4 were from Australia. Only 5 ...
Editor jailed for reporting on Mubarak health
... Cairo: An outspoken Egyptian tabloid news editor has been sentenced to ... their investment from the country and the stock market collapsed, costing the economy some $350 million ...
Wednesday, March 26, 2008
Forex - US dollar mixed after losing ground overnight on weak data
... Forex - US dollar mixed after losing ground ... He said high-yielding currencies such as the Australian dollar also slipped on risk-aversion selling after ...
Listing on DIFX and LSE
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Abu Dhabi and Qatar to launch $2bn fund
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Tuesday, March 25, 2008
They blackmailed me before OBJ to push me out of NFA
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So far, dollar intervention whispers remain just that
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A supplementary budget of $5 billion for the provinces
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A supplementary budget of $5 billion for the provinces
... week with the inauguration of a new stock exchange system in Baghdad. 24 March 2008 (Iraq ... Cairo International Industrial Exhibition, organized by the Egyptian Ministry of Trade and Industry from (18 ...
Capital Markets
... Proposed Changes to the ASX Listing Rules The Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) has been reviewing its Listing Rules (LR) and has released three consultation papers ...
Monday, March 24, 2008
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US to become a major exporter of coal in 2008
Commodity Online NEW YORK: Steady demand from utilities and surging global demand for coal will push up prices of coal in United States, the one fossil fuel the country has in abundance.
Agriculture Futures Decline on CBOT
Agriculture futures traded lower Thursday on the Chicago Board of Trade. Wheat for May delivery fell 86.5 cents to $9.875 a bushel; May corn slipped 19.75 cents to $5.075 a bushel; May oats dropped 19 cents to $3.39 a bushel; May soybeans declined 50 cents to $12.07 a bushel.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Recession isnt the medias fault
A lot of people believe that talk about a recession scares consumers into creating one. But its taking more than journalists to pull down the economy -- its taking scared bankers.
Wednesday, March 12, 2008
GO Capital Halts Redemptions From Global Hedge Fund
(Bloomberg) -- GO Capital Asset Management BV blocked clients from withdrawing cash from its Global Opportunities Fund, at least the seventh hedge fund in the past month forced to take steps to protect itself from falling markets.
Frans van Schaik, the former head of equity research at ABN Amro Holding NV who founded the Amsterdam-based fund in 2000, wrote to investors that the fund is not leveraged and not facing margin calls. The fund, which bets both on rising and falling prices, has assets of about 570 million euros ($881 million).
``A temporary suspension of redemptions is the best defensive measure to protect the interests of the participants,'' van Schaik and other members of GO Capital's management said in a letter posted on their Web site and dated March 11. ``Current market circumstances do not allow the fund to sell investments at a reasonable price.''
At least six hedge funds totaling more than $5.4 billion have been forced to liquidate or sell holdings since Feb. 15 as contagion from the U.S. subprime slump spreads for a seventh month. Others include Peloton Partners LLP's $1.8 billion ABS Fund, Tequesta Capital Advisor's mortgage fund and Focus Capital Investors LLC, which invested in midsize Swiss companies.
GO focused mostly on listed European equities, although it was not restricted in investments it could make, the Web site says. The fund planned to make bets on between 10 and 30 stocks and looked for ``situations of overreaction or stress,'' according to the Web site.
Drake Management May Shut Down Largest Hedge Fund After Losses
(Bloomberg) -- Drake Management LLC, the New York- based firm started by former BlackRock Inc. money managers, may shut its largest hedge fund after a 25 percent decline last year, according to a letter to investors.
Winding down the $3 billion Global Opportunities Fund is one option being considered by Drake ``in an attempt to maintain and maximize value for investors during this period of severe market downturn and contraction of liquidity,'' the letter said.
Drake, which had blocked most redemptions from the fund in December, is reviewing other options, including allowing investors to get their money back over the next 18 months or to move their assets to a new fund. Drake, which managed $13 billion as recently as the end of the year, is considering similar steps for its two other hedge funds.
Hedge funds with more than $5.4 billion have been forced to liquidate or sell assets since Feb. 15 as contagion from the U.S. subprime slump spreads for a seventh month. Others include Peloton Partners LLP's $1.8 billion ABS Fund, Tequesta Capital Advisor's mortgage fund and Focus Capital Investors LLC, which invested in midsize Swiss companies.
Tuesday, March 11, 2008
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Monday, March 10, 2008
Goldman says can't rule out Fed emergency rate cut
(Reuters) - An emergency interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve is possible ahead of its March 18th policy meeting, according to a Goldman Sachs research note on Monday.
Goldman said its view on Fed policy changed on Friday.
The government reported on Friday that a second straight month of job losses and the Fed announced new steps to inject liquidity into the financial system as credit availability remains tight.
Carlyle Capital Says Lenders May Force Further Sales
(Bloomberg) -- Carlyle Group's mortgage-bond fund said creditors may liquidate as much as $16 billion of securities unless the two sides reach agreement on debt repayments.
The fund has asked lenders to refrain from further sales after they liquidated collateral securing $5 billion of debt, Carlyle Capital Corp. said in a statement today. It is meeting lenders to discuss more than $400 million of margin calls and is ``evaluating all options,'' the Guernsey, Channel Islands-based fund said.
Carlyle Capital used loans to buy about $22 billion of AAA rated mortgage debt issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which the firm says have an ``implied guarantee'' from the U.S. government. Even the safest mortgage bonds have slumped following the collapse of the subprime-mortgage market, leading to the failure of hedge funds led by Peloton Partners LLP.
``This particular Carlyle entity wasn't prepared,'' said Philip Keevil, a senior partner in London at Compass Advisers LLP and former head of European mergers at Salomon Smith Barney Inc. ``They hadn't started selling ahead of time and now they're having trouble liquidating their positions.''
Started by David Rubenstein 21 years ago, Carlyle expanded its mortgage investments last year, selling $300 million of shares in Carlyle Capital.
``Due to recent turmoil in the market for mortgage-backed securities, the company's lenders have significantly reduced the amount they are willing to lend against the company's portfolio of U.S. government agency AAA-rated residential mortgage-backed securities,'' Carlyle Capital said today.
Hedge Funds Reel From Margin Calls Even on Treasuries
(Bloomberg) -- The hedge-fund industry is reeling from its worst crisis in a decade as banks are now demanding more money pledged to support outstanding loans even when the investment is backed by the full faith and credit of the United States.
Since Feb. 15, at least six hedge funds, totaling more than $5.4 billion, have been forced to liquidate or sell holdings because their lenders -- staggered by almost $190 billion of asset writedowns and credit losses caused by the collapse of the subprime-mortgage market -- raised borrowing rates by as much as 10-fold with new claims for extra collateral.
While lenders are most unsettled by credit consisting of real estate and consumer debt, bankers are now attempting to raise the rates they charge on Treasuries, considered the world's safest securities, because of the price fluctuations in the bond market.
``If you have leverage, you're stuffed,'' said Alex Allen, chief investment officer of London-based Eddington Capital Management Ltd., which has $195 million invested in hedge funds for clients. He likens the crisis to a bank panic turned upside down with bankers, not depositors, concerned they won't get their money back.
The lending crackdown is the worst to hit the $1.9 trillion hedge-fund industry since Russia's debt default in 1998 roiled global credit markets and required the U.S. Federal Reserve to pressure the securities industry to arrange a $3.6 billion bailout of Greenwich, Connecticut-based Long-Term Capital Management LP. Today, hedge funds are being forced to sell assets to meet banks' margin calls, resulting in the dissolution of the funds.
``There has to be more in the next weeks,'' Allen said. ``There are people who have been hanging on by their fingernails who can't hold on much, much longer.''
`Mercy of Counterparties'
Ivan Ross, founder of Westport, Connecticut-based hedge fund Tequesta Capital Advisors, received a call from his bankers on Feb. 22 demanding he put up more money or risk losing his loans. Ross was unable to meet the margin call as the market for mortgage- backed debt seized up, preventing him from selling securities to raise the cash. Four days later, lenders liquidated his $150 million fund.
``Because it's impossible in this environment to move among dealers, you're at the mercy of counterparties,'' said the 45-year- old Ross, who has managed hedge funds for 13 years, including a stint handling mortgage-backed debt for billionaire George Soros. ``To the extent they want to shut you down, they can.''
The demise of Tequesta revealed the deathtrap for hedge funds caught in the credit maelstrom of banks selling mortgage-backed bonds as fast as they can while demanding more collateral from clients who use the securities to back loans.
Carlyle Fund
On Feb. 24, London-based Peloton Partners LLP gave up a ``night and day'' effort to stave off demands from banks, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and UBS AG, for as much as 25 percent collateral for securities that once required 10 percent, according to investors in the fund. Peloton, run by former Goldman partners Ron Beller and Geoff Grant, liquidated the $1.8 billion ABS Fund, its largest.
The same day, about 5,000 miles (7,770 kilometers) away in Santa Fe, New Mexico, JPMorgan Chase & Co. told Thornburg Mortgage Inc. that it had defaulted on a $320 million loan because it couldn't meet a $28 million margin call, according to U.S. regulatory filings.
Thornburg, the home lender that lost 93 percent of its market value in the past year, was near collapse March 7 after it failed to meet $610 million of margin calls. Chief Executive Officer Larry Goldstone said in a statement the company fell victim to a ``panic that has gripped the mortgage financing industry.''
Repo Agreements
Carlyle Capital Corp., the debt-investment fund started by private-equity firm Carlyle Group of Washington, was suspended from trading in Amsterdam on March 7 after it couldn't meet margin calls, and its banks seized and sold assets.
``Banks are reducing exposure anywhere they can and the shortest way to do that is to cut leverage,'' said John Godden, chief executive officer of London-based hedge-fund consultant IGS AIS LLP.
Hedge funds are mostly private pools of capital whose managers participate substantially in the profits from their speculation on whether the price of assets will rise or fall.
The managers that trade fixed-income securities generally borrow money through repurchase agreements, or repos. In a repo, the security itself is used as collateral, just as a homeowner puts up the house as collateral for a mortgage.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
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Lego wants to build business with girls
(Reuters) - Nine-year-old Ida Fraende, who likes to play with Lego bricks, is not so unusual in Scandinavia but globally speaking she is not typical: Jorgen V. Knudstorp hopes to change that.
The Chief Executive of Europe's largest toymaker, who has brought the once-troubled group back to profit and renewed its growth ambitions, has a keen eye on the market where Mattel and Hasbro of the United States are the mom and pop.
Girls are an area where "we'll never stop trying," Knudstorp, who joined the family-owned firm in 2001 from consultancy McKinsey & Company, told Reuters.
"I think there is something that genetically skews us towards boys, but we can do better."
To win girls over Lego -- whose iconic plastic bricks have entertained children and wounded unwary barefoot parents since the late 1940s -- is working to change its mindset, and taking its bid for their custom online.
The firm founded in 1932 by carpenter Ole Kirk Christiansen intends next year to launch an online Lego Universe, to tap into a booming market that has created successes such as Second Life and World of Warcraft.
The group which started out with wooden toys like ducks and trucks has recovered from a massive 1.9 billion Danish crowns ($388 million) loss in 2004 and managed to build market share in a stagnant global market.
Money-Market Rate for Euros Climbs to Seven-Week High
(Bloomberg) -- The cost of borrowing euros for three months rose to the highest level in seven weeks as the coordinated effort by central banks to revive lending falters.
The euro interbank offered rate, or Euribor, for the loans climbed 3 basis points to 4.43 percent today, the highest since Jan. 17, the European Banking Federation said. It was the biggest gain since Jan. 25.
The increase in money-market rates adds to evidence a concerted plan by central banks to promote lending and limit the fallout from the U.S. housing slump isn't working. Banks' asset writedowns and credit losses exceeded $181 billion since the beginning of 2007, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Total writedowns may top $600 billion, UBS said last week.
``This will continue to be the story for all 2008,'' said Nathalie Fillet, a senior interest-rate strategist at BNP Paribas SA in London. ``It's less a pure liquidity squeeze like at the end of last year than a reflection that the global credit crisis will last a while.''
Borrowing costs fell earlier this year after policy makers from the U.S., U.K., euro region, Switzerland and Canada announced plans on Dec. 12 to counter the credit shortage. The ECB injected a record $500 billion into the banking system on Dec. 18. The Federal Reserve provided $160 billion in short-term loans since mid-December in six auctions through the Term Auction Facility.
OIS Spread
The difference between the rate banks charge for one-month dollar loans in London relative to the overnight indexed swap rate, the so-called Libor OIS spread used by the Fed as the minimum bid level at its auctions, suggested a decline in the availability of funds. The spread increased to 54 basis points today, from 30 basis points in the week ended Feb. 22. It averaged 6 basis points in the first half of 2007 and 41 basis points since then.
Overnight indexed swaps are derivatives in which one party agrees to pay a fixed rate in exchange for receiving the average of a floating central bank rate over the life of the swap. For swaps based in U.S. dollars, the floating rate is the daily effective federal funds rate.
The difference, or spread, between the three-month money- market rate and the European Central Bank's benchmark rate was 43 basis points. It averaged 25 basis points in the first half of 2007.
``The leverage crunch is unlikely to disappear over the next few weeks,'' Stuart Thomson, a money manager who helps oversee $46 billion in bonds at Glasgow, Scotland-based Resolution Investment Management Ltd., said in an e-mailed note today.
Credit Swaps Thwart Fed's Ease as Debt Costs Surge
(Bloomberg) -- Credit trading models used by Wall Street have gone haywire, raising company borrowing costs even as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke cuts interest rates.
General Electric Co. is one of five U.S. companies rated AAA by both Standard & Poor's and Moody's Investors Service, making its ability to repay debt unquestioned. Yet when the Fairfield, Connecticut-based company sold 2.25 billion euros ($3.35 billion) of five-year bonds last week, its annual interest payment was $17 million higher than on a sale nine months ago.
Borrowers from investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc. to Germany's HeidelbergCement AG face the same predicament. Yields on $5.12 trillion of corporate bonds tracked by Merrill Lynch & Co. average 2.05 percentage points more than U.S. Treasuries, the most since at least 1997.
The higher costs are an unintended consequence of securities that allow investors to speculate on corporate creditworthiness. So-called correlation models used to value them have become unreliable in the fallout from the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis. Last month some showed the odds of a default by an investment-grade company spreading to others exceeded 100 percent -- a mathematical impossibility, according to UBS AG.
``The credit-default swap market is completely distorting reality,'' said Henner Boettcher, treasurer of HeidelbergCement in Heidelberg, Germany, the country's biggest cement maker. ``Given what these spreads imply about defaults, we should be in a deep depression, and we are not.''
Hedging Losses
The problem started in the second half of last year when subprime mortgage delinquencies started to rise, causing investors to retreat from complex instruments such as synthetic collateralized debt obligations, or packages of credit-default swaps that became hard to value. The swaps are contracts based on bonds and used to speculate on a company's ability to repay debt.
As values of CDOs began to fall, banks that had sold swaps underlying the securities started to buy indexes based on them instead, a method of hedging their losses on portions of the CDOs they owned. The purchases are driving the cost of the contracts higher, raising the perception that company bonds tied to the swaps are suddenly riskier and leading investors to demand higher yields throughout the corporate debt market.
The Markit CDX North America Investment-Grade Index, a gauge of credit-default swaps on 125 companies from Wal-Mart Stores Inc. to Walt Disney Co., more than doubled since the start of the year to a record 171 basis points on March 4. The index, which dropped to a low of 29 in February last year, was at 170.5 basis points at 7:10 a.m. in New York, according to Deutsche Bank AG.
Tuesday, March 4, 2008
Copper May Rise on Dollar Slide; Lead Gains to Four-Month High
(Bloomberg) -- Copper may advance in London on speculation declines in the dollar will accelerate investor demand for the metal used in plumbing and power plants.
The U.S. currency reversed gains and fell against the euro and declined for a sixth day against the yen. Copper has climbed 29 percent this year as an index of the dollar against six currencies including the euro and the pound has dropped 4.1 percent.
``The dollar is helping to support commodity prices,'' said Leon Westgate, a metals analyst at Standard Bank Ltd. in London. ``The main driver is money flow.''
Copper for delivery in three months gained $10 to $8,585 a metric ton as of 12:48 p.m. on the London Metal Exchange. Prices yesterday rose to $8,661, the highest since May 2006 when copper gained to a record $8,880 a ton.
The higher prices have curbed demand in China, the world's biggest user, said Eric Yan, head of China trade at Triland Metals Ltd. in London.
``If copper goes up to $10,000, Chinese demand will be dramatically reduced,'' he said. ``Chinese demand is quite weak and I don't think it will recover very soon.''
Nickel rose $400 to $33,600 a ton. Prices have climbed 15 percent since a strike began Feb. 28 at a Colombian mine owned by BHP Billiton Ltd. The workers are still on strike, Illtud Harri, a spokesman for BHP in London, said in an e-mail today.
Global nickel inventories in warehouses monitored by the London Metal Exchange dropped 120 tons to 47,592 tons, the exchange said today in its daily warehouse report. Supplies are little changed this year.
Read more at Bloomberg
Dollar Falls Against Yen on Bets Fed Will Lower Rate 0.75-Point
(Bloomberg) -- The dollar fell for a sixth straight day against the yen and traded near a record low versus the euro as traders increased bets that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 0.75 percentage point this month.
The U.S. Dollar Index, which compares the currency with those of six trading partners, dropped as futures showed a 74 percent likelihood the Fed will reduce rates to 2.25 percent. Last week, traders saw no chance of a cut that steep. Canada's currency fell after the Bank of Canada cut rates today to help offset a slump in exports to the U.S.
``The dollar will remain under pressure,'' said Omer Esiner, an analyst at currency-trading company Ruesch International Inc. in Washington. ``The U.S. economy is looking weak.''
The dollar fell to 103.08 yen at 9:10 a.m. in New York, from 103.49 yen yesterday, when it fell to 102.62 yen, the lowest since Jan. 28, 2005. The U.S. currency traded at $1.5202 per euro, from $1.5204 yesterday, when it touched $1.5275, the weakest level since the European currency's 1999 debut.
``Don't fight the dollar weakness,'' a team of strategists at Zurich-based UBS AG, led by Mansoor Mohi-uddin, wrote in a research report published today. This week's U.S. data ``will likely increasingly suggest a recession,'' they wrote.
The U.S. Dollar Index traded on ICE Futures in New York was at 73.584 after declining to a record low of 73.354 yesterday. The slump in the U.S. currency helped push the price of oil to a record of $103.95 yesterday and gold to an all-time high of $989.54 an ounce.
`Grossly Misaligned'
The yen advanced to 156.71 per euro from 157.35.
UBS Wealth Management Research, a unit of UBS, wrote in a separate report that the world's foreign-exchange markets are ``grossly misaligned'' and Asian currencies may ``appreciate sharply.''
The Singapore dollar reached S$1.3897 against the U.S. currency, a decade-high, before trading at S$1.3904, from S$1.3910 yesterday. The Taiwan dollar advanced 0.6 percent to NT$30.922 per dollar.
The Australian dollar, also known as the Aussie, fell as the central bank governor said there is evidence consumer spending is moderating. The central bank raised the main rate to 7.25 percent today, the highest in 12 years. The Aussie was at 93.29 U.S. cents, from 93.96 cents yesterday and 94.98 on Feb. 28, the highest since March 1984.
``The Australian dollar is likely to be sold hard in the near-term,'' Hans-Guenter Redeker, head of currency strategy in London at BNP Paribas SA, one of the world's 10 biggest currency traders, wrote in a note to clients. A support level at 92.75 cents per dollar ``looks set to be broken,'' he said.
Canadian Rates
The Canadian dollar fell to 99.36 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar, from 99 cents yesterday, after the central bank cut Canada's benchmark rate by a half-point to 3.5 percent and said further ``stimulus'' will likely be required.
Japan's currency also climbed 1.3 percent to 95.97 against the Aussie and 1 percent to 82.68 per New Zealand dollar as widening credit-market losses prompted investors to reduce so- called carry trades
Japan's benchmark rate of 0.5 percent, the lowest among industrialized nations, compares with 8.25 percent in New Zealand and 4 percent in Europe. In carry trades, investors get funds in a country with low borrowing costs and invest in one with higher rates, earning the difference between the two. The risk is that currency moves erase those profits.
Monday, February 25, 2008
Electronic Arts bids for Take-Two
(Reuters) - Video game giant Electronic Arts on Sunday said it had made an unsolicited $1.9 billion offer for "Grand Theft Auto" publisher Take-Two Interactive Software, escalating its battle with Activision for the title of biggest video game maker.
Electronic Arts said it had pursued the deal privately since December, and Take-Two on Sunday immediately rejected the offer, a 50 percent premium to its Friday close, and accused EA of trying to scoop up a company in turnaround with an "inadequate" bid just before the publication of its next hit.
The $26-per-share all-cash bid is Electronic Arts' answer to Activision Inc's $18 billion acquisition of the gaming unit of French media and telecoms giant Vivendi. That combination, announced last November, is set to challenge EA's long-standing industry dominance.
Electronic Arts, publisher of blockbuster games like "Madden" and "Need for Speed," would become the largest sports game maker by far if it buys Take Two.
The offer follows months of speculation that Take-Two would be acquired by a major games publisher or media firm, with News Corp and Viacom often mentioned as possible suitors as they eye the fast-growing video game industry.
Take-Two said the offer valued it at a "significant discount" to peers. EA's offer would be about 18 times its expected fiscal 2008 earnings, while France's Ubisoft trades at 34 times expected earnings in the year ending March 2009 and Activision, with a similar year, trades at 24 times.
Take-Two Chairman Strauss Zelnick, who helped oust former management last March after it was laid low by accounting scandals and controversy over its games, said he hadn't ruled out a potential deal.
Visa sets possible record $18.8 billion IPO
(Reuters) - Visa Inc, the world's largest credit-card network, on Monday said it may raise up to $18.8 billion in its eagerly awaited public sale of shares, which could make it the largest initial public offering ever.
The company filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to sell 406 million Class A shares at $37 to $42 each, resulting in proceeds of $15 billion to $17.1 billion. It said it might sell another 40.6 million shares to meet demand, boosting the potential size of the IPO to $18.8 billion.
A successful IPO would surpass the $10.6 billion offering in 2000 by AT&T Wireless Group.
San Francisco-based Visa plans to list its shares on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol "V."
The timing of Visa's offering is risky, as worries that the U.S. economy might be entering a recession have chilled investor demand for stocks and IPOs.
But shares of smaller rival MasterCard Inc (MA.N: Quote, Profile, Research) have more than quintupled since that card network went public in a $2.4 billion IPO in May 2006.
"MasterCard has been an explosive stock, and investors may hope Visa will be the same," said Steve Roukis, a managing director at Matrix Asset Advisors Inc in New York, which invests $1.7 billion.
Visa intends to set aside $3 billion of net proceeds to cover a wide variety of antitrust and other litigation.
Cheap Palm Oil May Overtake Soy on Rising Asia Demand
(Bloomberg) -- Palm oil, the world's most-used cooking oil, is also the cheapest, a discrepancy that won't last long as demand rises across Asia's biggest countries.
An ingredient in curries, stir-fries and Skittles candy, Malaysian palm oil costs 15 percent less than soybean oil on the Chicago Board of Trade. Tobin Gorey, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia Ltd. in Sydney, said the two may soon be even money, raising the prospect of at least a $1.5 million profit from a $10 million investment.
Rising incomes mean billions of people in Asia's developing economies seek palm oil for fried and processed foods, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Crude oil at $100 a barrel is boosting demand for alternative fuels such as diesel from vegetable oil. As consumption rises, supply in China may drop after the worst snowstorms in five decades damaged rapeseed crops in January, the government reported.
``We may have a case of mass shortage of vegetable oil in China,'' said Rudolphe Roche, a manager at Schroders Plc's $6 billion agricultural commodities fund in London. ``This means they will continue to import from the rest of the world.'' Palm oil, produced in Malaysia and Indonesia, will benefit the most because its proximity to China lowers shipping costs, he said.
Rising prices will increase expenses at Nissin Food Products Co., Japan's biggest instant-noodle maker, and increase profits at Kuala Lumpur-based Sime Darby Bhd., the world's largest publicly traded owner of palm plantations. About 36 percent of the world's cooking oil comes from oil palm, more than any other plant, USDA data show.
The Precedent
``Ninety-three percent of all the palm oil in the world is going to food demand,'' William Doyle, chief executive officer of fertilizer maker Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., said in a Feb. 19 interview. ``It's enormously powerful, and we don't see this backing off.''
The last time palm oil was this cheap, in April 2007, prices rallied for two months because of increasing demand, gaining 38 percent to 2,855 ringgit ($889) a metric ton on the Malaysia Derivatives Exchange to reach parity with Chicago prices. Contracts for May delivery ended at 3,698 ringgit a ton (52 U.S. cents a pound) on Feb. 22 in Malaysia. May soybean oil finished at 63.02 cents a pound on the CBOT.
Palm oil and soybean oil reached records today. Palm oil rose as much as 5.8 percent to 3,914 ringgit a ton and closed 4.5 percent higher at 3,866 ringgit, the biggest gain since Dec. 26, 2006. Soybeans advanced as much as 2.4 percent to 64.52 cents a pound and last traded at 64.29. That narrowed palm oil's discount to 16 percent from 17 percent.
Food Inflation
``There is no reason why the price of soybean oil and palm oil cannot be the same,'' said Edgare Kerwijk, chief financial officer for Biox Group BV in Rotterdam, which has put on hold plans for three biodiesel projects in the Netherlands and the U.K. due to higher prices. ``The discount will narrow'' for palm oil, he said.
U.S. manufacturers will increase consumption of soybean oil for energy by 22 percent to 3.4 million pounds in the year ending November, the USDA forecasts. The total equals 16 percent of U.S. use.
Soaring food prices are fueling inflation. China's consumer- price gains accelerated to 7.1 percent in January, the fastest pace in more than 11 years, the statistics bureau said Feb. 19. U.S. inflation quickened to 4.3 percent in January from 4.1 percent in December, the Labor Department said Feb. 20.
China's January snowstorms and rains, the worst in 50 years, affected as much as 48 million mu (7.9 million acres) of rapeseed crops, almost half the total area planted, the China National Grain and Oils Information Center said Feb. 14.
China, U.S.
China, the biggest annual buyer of cooking oils, raised palm oil imports 18 percent in January to 360,000 metric tons, compared with a year earlier, according to customs figures. India boosted imports 75 percent to 366,353 tons that month, and imports of all cooking oils may gain 15 percent to 5.4 million tons in the year ending Oct. 31, according to a Bloomberg News survey of six traders and analysts.
``With the strong demand coming from the substitution effect this year, the discount should narrow further from here,'' said Ben Santoso, a plantations analyst at the brokerage arm of DBS Group Holdings, Singapore's largest bank. He said palm oil may reach the same level as soy by June.
Even the U.S., the world's largest soybean grower and exporter, is buying more palm oil. Soyoil is hydrogenated in some foods to make them last longer on store shelves, a process resulting in trans-fats that may raise the risk of heart disease, according to the Food and Drug Administration.
``Trans-fats are a big reason for more palm oil imports,'' Anne Frick, a senior oilseed analyst for Prudential Financial Inc. in New York, said in a Feb. 20 e-mail.
Stocks Advance in Europe, Asia, Led by UBS; U.S. Futures Fall
(Bloomberg) -- Stocks gained in Europe and Asia, led by financial companies, on speculation bond insurers will avoid a cut in their credit ratings and limit further losses related to subprime mortgages. U.S. index futures declined.
UBS AG and BNP Paribas SA led banks higher in Europe, while Millea Holdings Inc., Japan's biggest insurer, and Commonwealth Bank of Australia climbed in Asia. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc gained on expectations Qatar Investment Authority may buy a stake, while Alliance & Leicester Plc jumped on speculation it may get a bid from Lloyds TSB Group Plc.
The MSCI World Index gained 0.7 percent to 1,458.88 as of 1:24 p.m. in London, while Standard & Poor's 500 Index futures slipped 0.1 percent. The MSCI World Financials Index jumped 1.3 percent, the most in almost two weeks, as investors speculated Ambac Financial Group Inc. may get new capital.
``We're making our way toward a rescue plan for Ambac,'' said Salah Seddik, who helps oversee $5.9 billion at Richelieu Finance in Paris. ``This is reassuring and good news for financial stocks. It means that in terms of writedowns, the worst is behind us.''
Speculation that companies in the bond-insurance industry may not be able to maintain the AAA credit ratings they rely on to insure about $2.4 trillion in securities has contributed to an 8.1 percent decline in the MSCI World this year.
Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index advanced 1.3 percent, with all 18 national markets gaining. Germany's DAX added 1 percent, while France's CAC 40 rose 1.5 percent. The U.K.'s FTSE 100 jumped 1.4 percent.
Asian Indexes
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1.4 percent. Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average increased 3.1 percent to 13,914.57, the highest close since Jan. 15.
UBS, Europe's largest bank by assets, rallied 2.5 percent to 36.58 Swiss francs. BNP Paribas, France's biggest bank, advanced 4.3 percent to 63.84 euros. Deutsche Bank AG, Germany's largest lender, gained 1.9 percent to 75.79 euros.
Millea jumped 8.9 percent to 4,030 yen, the most since Oct. 2. Commonwealth Bank, Australia's biggest mortgage lender, rose 4.9 percent to A$44.67.
Ambac may get $3 billion in new capital as part of a rescue agreement with banks, according to a person with knowledge of the discussions. Ambac spokeswoman Vandana Sharma declined to comment specifically on the discussions.
Bailout Plan
Stocks climbed in late trading in the U.S. on Feb. 22 after CNBC on-air editor Charles Gasparino said that a bailout may be announced this week, citing bankers working on the deal. Gasparino also said ``the entire deal could fall apart.''
``The efforts to prevent Ambac from collapsing will push the market up today, particularly financial stocks,'' said Erhan Aslan, a sales trader at Concord Investmentbank AG in Frankfurt.
Royal Bank of Scotland rallied 6.2 percent to 401.5 pence. The Qatari government is considering an investment in the U.K.'s second-largest bank, the Sunday Telegraph Business reported, citing unidentified people with knowledge of the matter.
Alliance & Leicester gained 7.4 percent to 547.5 pence, and Bradford & Bingley Plc jumped 7.2 percent to 202 pence.
Lloyds TSB, the biggest U.K. provider of personal loans, is in the ``early stages'' of assessing approaches to smaller rivals Alliance & Leicester and Bradford & Bingley, the Sunday Telegraph reported, citing unidentified people close to the bank.
Thursday, February 21, 2008
Reed to buy ChoicePoint, sell info division
(Reuters) - Reed Elsevier announced the acquisition of U.S. risk-management business ChoicePoint Inc for $4.1 billion including debt alongside its results, as well as a renewed cost-savings drive and the planned sale of an advertising-dependent information business.
Shares in Anglo-Dutch publisher Reed, which have outperformed the DJ Stoxx European media sector by 5 percent over the past year, jumped 6 percent to 619 pence on the news on Thursday.
The $4.1 billion for ChoicePoint comprises $3.5 billion in cash for the equity, at $50 per share, and 600 million pounds in debt. CheckPoint shares closed at $33.66 on Wednesday.
Reed said that combining ChoicePoint with its LexisNexis risk-information and its Analytics group would create a risk-management business with $1.5 billion in revenue and a leading position in a fast-growing market.
The London-based company said buying ChoicePoint had the unanimous backing of the U.S. company's board and now required shareholder and regulatory approval. ChoicePoint is based in Alpharetta, Ga. and employs around 5,500 people.
Reed also announced that it would divest its Reed Business Information (RBI) arm to reduce its exposure to cyclical advertising markets. The Reed exhibitions business will be kept.
Advertising accounts for around 60 percent of revenues at RBI, which itself generates around 20 percent of Reed's 4.6 billion pound group revenues.
Dresdner Rescues $19 Billion SIV, Follows Citigroup
(Bloomberg) -- Dresdner Bank AG, Germany's third- largest bank, agreed to rescue its $18.8 billion structured investment vehicle, joining Citigroup Inc. and HSBC Holdings Plc in bailing out funds crippled by the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.
Dresdner, a unit of Munich-based Allianz SE, will provide a credit line to enable the K2 fund to repay all of its senior debt, spokesman Ulrich Porwollik in Frankfurt said in a telephone interview. Dresdner will cut the size of the fund, which has been reduced from $31.2 billion since July, according to an e-mailed statement.
The bank is the last of the world's biggest financial institutions to put capital at risk salvaging a SIV from the seven-month freeze in credit markets. Banks including Citigroup, HSBC, Bank of Montreal and WestLB AG have disclosed plans to support their SIVs with $140 billion of assets.
``This is a potential threat to Dresdner Bank,'' said Thilo Mueller, managing director of MB Fund Advisory in Frankfurt. ``There is little liquidity for some of these assets and with comparative assets continuing to fall, you need to book further writedowns.''
SIVs, which use short-term borrowing to buy higher-yielding assets, have shrunk by $100 billion from $400 billion since August, according to Moody's Investors Service.
Exit Plan
``Allianz plans to exit K2 and the SIV business in general,'' Chief Financial Officer Helmut Perlet said today in an interview. ``The SIV business has no future.''
The fund, which Allianz expects will be wound down by year- end, is unlikely to cause a ``major negative hit'' if the assets are taken on to Dresdner's books because the company has the ``financial strength to sit out parts of the valuation declines,'' Perlet said.
Allianz's banking division, which is mostly Dresdner, wrote down more than 1.3 billion euros ($1.9 billion) on structured investment products, contributing to a 52 percent decline in fourth-quarter profit announced today. Europe's biggest insurer earned 665 million euros, missing the 729 million-euro median estimate of 12 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg.
Allianz, which has fallen 19 percent this year, rose 1.91 euros, or 1.61 percent, to 120.27 euros at 4:25 p.m. in Frankfurt trading.
No Subprime
K2, named after the world's second-highest mountain in the Himalayas, was started in 1999 by Paul Clarke and Alan Harley, who previously helped manage Europe's first SIVs at Citigroup.
The fund has no ``direct exposure'' to securities backed by subprime or midprime debt, the mortgages made to U.S. homeowners with poor or limited credit histories. K2 also doesn't contain collateralized debt obligations based on asset-backed notes, the statement said. CDOs are securities packaged from mortgage bonds and other assets.
One of the SIV's three portfolios has entered a ``restricted operating period,'' a rule designed to protect senior investors that prevents it making payments to lower- ranking bondholders. The credit line from Dresdner may enable K2 to end the restriction, K2 said in a separate statement today.
``Such an outcome, however, cannot be assured,'' the statement said. K2 didn't disclose the size of the portfolio.
SIV Defaults
The SIV bailouts avert the risk of forced sales of assets by the funds. Concern that fire sales by SIVs would further roil credit markets prompted U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson to begin talks on setting up an $80 billion rescue fund last year. Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase & Co. in New York and Charlotte, North Carolina-based Bank of America Corp. abandoned the so- called SuperSIV after banks began rescuing their own funds, led by London-based HSBC.
More than $20 billion of SIVs have defaulted after being forced to start winding down since August, including funds set up by New York-based Ceres Capital Partners LLC and Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP in London.
Whistlejacket Capital Ltd., set up by Standard Chartered Plc, may default today after the company's receiver, Deloitte & Touche LLP, froze debts last week. The London-based bank abandoned a rescue plan for SIV yesterday, prompting Moody's to downgrade Whistlejacket's senior debt rating by three steps to B2, five levels below investment grade.
``It's a positive signal that Dresdner is willing to step in and support its SIV, but the story is far from resolved as we saw with Standard Chartered's Whistlejacket SIV,'' said Henry Tabe, an analyst at Moody's in London. Moody's rates K2's senior debt at Aaa.
Auction Debt Succumbs to Bid-Rig Taint as Citi Flees
(Bloomberg) -- The collapse of the auction-rate bond market, where state and local governments go to raise cash, demonstrates that regulators are no match for Wall Street.
Hundreds of auctions have failed this month, sending borrowing costs as high as 20 percent because dealers from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Citigroup Inc., UBS AG and Merrill Lynch & Co. stopped using their own capital to support the sales. Regulators, who allowed the manipulation of bids and lack of information to persist even after two probes in the past 15 years, are now watching a $342 billion market evaporate at the expense of taxpayers.
Inadequate disclosure ``may have masked the impact of broker-dealer bidding on rates and liquidity,'' Martha Haines, head of the Securities and Exchange Commission's municipal office, said in an interview. ``The large numbers of recent auction failures, which are reported to have occurred due to a reduction in bidding by broker-dealers, appears to indicate those concerns were well founded.''
Citizens Property Insurance of Tallahassee, Florida, a state-run insurer that protects homeowners against hurricane losses, is a casualty. The rate Citizens pays on a portion of the $4.75 billion in securities it has sold jumped to 15 percent from 5 percent at an auction run by UBS that failed on Feb. 13.
No `Backstop'
``The banks were the backstop,'' said Sharon Binnun, the chief financial officer of Citizens. ``If you had more sell orders than buy orders, they'd pick up the difference and you wouldn't have a failed auction.''
Officials at Goldman, Citigroup, UBS and Merrill declined to comment. All the firms are based in New York, except UBS, which is located in Zurich. UBS told its brokers this month that it won't buy bonds that fail to attract enough bidders, and Merrill said it was reducing its purchases.
Auction-rate securities are long-term bonds whose interest resets every seven, 28 or 35 days at bidding run by a dealer who collects a fee of about 25 basis points. Unlike Treasuries or stocks, there is no daily source of information about auction- rate bonds. Issuers have relied on banks to be buyers of last resort when bidders couldn't be found at their auctions.
Since the first of the securities were sold in 1984 for American Express Co., the market has expanded as investors sought the bonds as a higher-yielding alternative to money funds.
SEC Fines
Along the way, New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. was fined $850,000 in 1995 by the SEC for manipulating auctions conducted for American Express. Almost two years ago, 15 securities firms paid the SEC $13 million to settle claims of bid-rigging in auction-rate bonds. The banks neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing.
While the SEC required dealers to disclose that they may use insider knowledge to place bids, they don't have to say how frequently they bid or how much. Dealers also aren't obligated to disclose rates on auction debt when the securities trade.
The settlement didn't go far enough because it still deprives investors of information they need to make informed bids, said Joseph Fichera, chief executive of Saber Partners LLC, an advisory firm in New York.
``Investors aren't sure they can sell the bonds when they want,'' Fichera said.
Aside from the fines, the market worked smoothly until November, when investors began pulling back from all except the safest of government debt as losses on securities tied to subprime mortgages began infecting other parts of the credit market.
Subprime Contagion
Wall Street firms, reeling from $146 billion in losses on their debt holdings, became unwilling to commit their own capital to support auctions that don't attract enough bidders.
``It's more a liquidity issue, I don't think there's a concern here about these entities being able to repay their debts,'' said Tony Crescenzi, chief bond-market strategist in New York at Miller Tabak & Co., in an interview today with Bloomberg Radio. ``These auction-rate securities are proving to no longer be viable, and we'll see them diminish in scope and size as we go forward.''
A month ago, it was ``unthinkable'' that the banks wouldn't intervene to support auctions, said Steven Brooks, executive director of the North Carolina State Education Assistance Agency. ``I had certainly hoped and believed that that liquidity was there and was an important part of why this marketplace was good for investors and good for issuers.''
From 1984 through 2006, only 13 auctions failed, typically because of changes in the credit of the borrower, according to Moody's Investors Service. There were 31 failures in the second half of 2007, and 32 during a two-week period beginning in January.
`Ugly' Market
``It's ugly,'' said Luis I. Alfaro-Martinez, finance director for the Government Development Bank of Puerto Rico, which saw the rate it pays on $62 million of debt rise to the maximum of 12 percent set out in documents governing the bonds, from 4 percent at a Feb. 12 auction handled by Goldman. ``It's getting uglier.''
The average rate for seven-day municipal auction bonds rose to a record 6.59 percent on Feb. 13 from 4.03 percent the previous week, according to indexes compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
The higher rates drove California, the biggest borrower in the municipal bond market, to decide to replace $1.25 billion of auction-rate bonds with traditional debt.
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Sharper Image Files for Bankruptcy Following Losses
(Bloomberg) -- Sharper Image Corp., the seller of $300 electric shavers and $1,999 massage chairs, filed for bankruptcy protection after losing money in 11 of the last 13 quarters.
The 31-year-old retailer will shed 90 stores while it deals with a ``severe liquidity crisis,'' Chief Financial Officer Rebecca Roedell said in papers filed last night in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Wilmington, Delaware. Sharper Image has lost more than $135 million since early 2005 on bad publicity stemming from lawsuits over its Ionic Breeze air purifiers and ``ever-tightening'' credit markets, the company said.
Former Chairman Richard Thalheimer founded Sharper Image in 1977 and built it into a company with 184 stores by selling gadgets such as the Ionic Breeze and $100 shaving mirrors. By January, sales had fallen every quarter for three years, and the San Francisco-based retailer brought in turnaround specialists to run the company last week.
The chain ousted Thalheimer, 59, in 2006 after losing more than three-quarters of its stock market value. Sharper Image, which peaked at $39.98 in February 2004, traded at 40 cents at 11:39 a.m. in Nasdaq Stock Market composite trading.
The company listed assets of $251.5 million and debt of $199 million and is in negotiations to sell its most unprofitable stores and inventory. It competes with Brookstone Inc. and New York-based Hammacher Schlemmer.
Another retailer, Virginia Beach, Virginia-based catalog company Lillian Vernon Corp., also filed for bankruptcy protection with a plan to sell its assets to help pay creditors.
Port Authority Auction Bonds Reset at 8% After Surge
(Bloomberg) -- Interest rates on $100 million of bonds issued by the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey were set at 8 percent in a weekly auction after surging to 20 percent on Feb. 12.
Rates had soared from 4.3 percent when too few buyers bid for the so-called auction-rate debt and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which runs the auction, refused to put up its own capital to buy unwanted securities. That caused the yield to be set at a level predetermined in bond documents. Rates fell yesterday as the prospect of high yields enticed investors, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Rates in the more than $300 billion market for auction-rate debt are rising after banks including Citigroup Inc. and Goldman stopped bidding for the debt at periodic sales they oversee, prompting hundreds of so-called failures. Some investors, including OppenheimerFunds Inc., see an opportunity in the turmoil and are buying the bonds.
``Twenty percent was such an unusually high number,'' said Judy Wesalo Temel, director of credit research at Samson Capital Advisors LLC, a fixed-income manager in New York. ``I wouldn't say that the whole market has calmed down or has even begun to function normally yet. It hasn't.''
Yesterday, a Citigroup-run auction of $25 million of federally taxable debt issued by Vermont's student loan agency failed, causing the rate to remain at 18 percent for the second week in a row. The debt paid 4.5 percent as recently as Feb. 11.
Port Authority Rates
The 8 percent rate on the federally taxable Port Authority debt is still above the range of 4 percent to 5.70 percent the agency paid until this month. Port Authority Treasurer Anne Marie Mulligan didn't return a call for comment; Goldman spokesman Michael DuVally declined to comment.
Auction-rate bonds are long-term debt with interest rates that reset according to bids submitted through securities firms every seven, 28 or 35 days. When there aren't enough bids, the auction fails and the rate is set at a level spelled out in bond documents. Investors who expected to sell the debt are left holding the securities.
Until the past two weeks, bankers who ran auctions prevented failures by purchasing bonds for their own account, though they weren't required to do so. Investors grew wary of relying on bankers to support auctions as the investment firms reported more than $146 billion of losses and writedowns.
Rising Average
The average rate for seven-day municipal auction bonds rose to a record 6.59 percent on Feb. 13 from 4.03 percent the previous week, according to indexes compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association.
Regulators allow dealers to bid when they choose, and to control auction information as long as they disclose that they might submit bids. Bankers don't have to say how often they buy or how much, and aren't required to make public the range of bids or when auctions fail.
Last week, New York Governor Eliot Spitzer cited the high rate on the Port Authority's auction-rate bonds in testimony on bond insurers before a House subcommittee on Capital Markets, Insurance and Government. Insurers such as MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc. that back the debt are struggling to raise capital after taking more than $8 billion in writedowns related to mortgage-linked securities they guaranteed.
``The higher max rate stuff is starting to get some traction,'' said Matt Dalton, chief executive officer of Belle Haven Investments, a money management firm based in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Massachusetts Tolls
Drivers on the Massachusetts Turnpike may face higher tolls after the state was unable to sell auction-rate securities backed by a unit of Ambac, according to state officials. The turnpike is now trying to buy a letter of credit from State Street Bank and Trust Co. and KBC Group NV so it can sell variable-rate demand obligations by mid-March instead of auction-rate securities, an advisor for the Turnpike told the agency's board yesterday.
``That is a very significant financial obligation, probably our biggest short-term problem,'' Alan LeBovidge, the turnpike authority's executive director, said at the state agency's monthly board meeting yesterday.
Auction-Rate Proposal
The Securities and Exchange Commission fined banks in a settlement over bid-rigging two years ago. The U.S. municipal bond market's main regulator, the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board, plans to propose rules requiring banks to disclose more, including the rate, bidding details and information about failures.
Auction-rate securities were introduced in the corporate market in 1984, when American Express Co. sold $300 million of auction preferred stock. The securities, devised by Ronald Gallatin, a retired managing director at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., then Shearson Lehman, were used by banks and other companies before auction difficulties prompted many companies to move away from them.
American Express retired its issue in 1991-1992, and in 1995 Lehman was fined $850,000 by the SEC for manipulating auctions conducted for American Express.
The first failed auction in the municipal market occurred in 1990 for bonds issued by the Pima County, Arizona, Industrial Development Authority for Tucson Electric Power Co., now a unit of UniSource Energy Corp., based in Tucson.
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
MBIA Former Chief Returns as Credit Rating Cut Looms
(Bloomberg) -- MBIA Inc., the world's largest bond insurer, brought back former Chief Executive Officer Joseph Brown to run the company and expedite talks with regulators to help preserve its AAA credit rating.
Gary Dunton, who succeeded Brown as CEO in 2004 and added the title of chairman last year, will leave the company, Armonk, New York-based MBIA said today in a statement.
Brown, 59, will be tasked with forging a plan to restructure and revive MBIA, which has recorded losses of more than $5 billion on subprime-mortgage securities, threatening its credit rating and sending its shares plunging 83 percent in the past year. New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo said last week bond insurers may need to be split into two businesses to protect more than $1 trillion of insured municipal debt from subprime losses.
``MBIA faces meaningful challenges,'' Brown said in the statement. Brown said he is seeking to ``frame a new model,'' for MBIA.
Brown said he has already discussed MBIA's plans with Dinallo who provided ``helpful guidance.'' Dinallo, who is taking the lead among the nation's insurance regulators, brought in Warren Buffett to start a new insurer and also asked the billionaire investor to value the guarantors' municipal business.
Insurers Splitting
FGIC Corp., the third-largest bond insurer, sought permission to split up last week. Dinallo said MBIA and Ambac Financial Group Inc., the market leaders, may do the same if they can't raise capital.
The companies and Security Capital Assurance Ltd. insure about $580 billion of asset-backed debt, including collateralized debt obligations that package bonds into new securities.
MBIA, New York-based Ambac and FGIC of New York are struggling after more than $8 billion in losses tied to the slumping value of subprime debt.
MBIA rose 53 cents to $12.77 in early New York Stock Exchange trading. Ambac, down 88 percent this year, fell 24 cents to $9.98. FGIC is owned by New York-based leveraged buyout firm Blackstone Group LP and mortgage insurer PMI Group Inc. of Walnut Creek, California.
Under Dunton, 52, MBIA sold about $2.5 billion in the sale of shares and notes in the past three months.
Foodmakers squeezed by costs, strapped consumers
(Reuters) - For more than a year, food makers and other consumer products companies have passed on much of the burden of rising commodity costs to consumers.
In fact, companies such as H.J. Heinz (HNZ.N: Quote, Profile, Research) and Hormel Foods Corp (HRL.N: Quote, Profile, Research) proved again with earnings forecasts and announcements on Friday that this was still the case early this year, fueling a rally in food stocks.
But that relief could prove short-lived, as 2008 could be the year consumers say "enough!" and start shunning branded products for less expensive private-label alternatives, industry experts warn.
"The next round of (increases) will actually start to impact consumer behavior in a profound way," Ken Harris, a principal at consulting firm Cannondale Associates, said.
That could hit profits at the companies that already have exhausted most measures to cut costs and become more efficient over the past several years in the wake of soaring prices for wheat, cocoa, milk and energy, just to name a few.
"When you say input costs are going up 6 percent and you are only getting 4 percent net pricing, where do you make up the rest?" asked Gregg Warren, an analyst at Morningstar.
Rising commodity costs and economically stressed consumers are expected to be the key topics when consumer products company executives meet with analysts at the Consumer Analyst Group of New York conference in Florida that begins Tuesday.
Penny-pinching shoppers boost Wal-Mart profit
(Reuters) - Wal-Mart Stores (WMT.N: Quote, Profile, Research) posted better-than-expected quarterly profit on Tuesday as penny-pinching U.S. shoppers scoured its discount stores for low prices on necessities like food to offset tough economic conditions.
"We know that the economy remains a critical factor in this new fiscal year," said Lee Scott, CEO of the world's largest retailer, in a statement. "Customers were more cautious in their spending in January."
For the first quarter, it forecast sales at its U.S. stores open at least a year, a key retail gauge known as same-store sales, to be flat to up 2 percent, citing the "challenging" economic environment.
Net income rose 4 percent to $4.096 billion, or $1.02 per share, for its fiscal fourth quarter ended January 31, from $3.94 billion, or 95 cents per share, a year earlier.
The most recent quarter's results included charges of 3 cents per share for dropped real estate projects and a restructuring charge for its Japanese operations, and a 1 cent per share benefit from the sale of certain real estate properties.
Excluding the items, Wal-Mart reported earnings of $1.04 per share, above analysts' average estimate of $1.02 per share, according to Reuters Estimates.
Monday, February 18, 2008
Toshiba to give up on HD DVD, end format war: source
(Reuters) - Toshiba Corp (6502.T: Quote, Profile, Research) is planning to give up on its HD DVD format for high definition DVDs, conceding defeat to the competing Blu-Ray technology backed by Sony Corp (6758.T: Quote, Profile, Research), a company source said on Saturday.
The move will likely put an end to a battle that has gone on for several years between consortiums led by Toshiba and Sony vying to set the standard for the next-generation DVD and compatible video equipment.
The format war, often compared to the Betamax-VHS battle in the 1980s, has confused consumers unsure of which DVD or player to buy, slowing the development what is expected to be a multibillion dollar high definition DVD industry.
Toshiba's cause has suffered several setbacks in recent weeks including Friday's announcement by U.S. retailing giant Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT.N: Quote, Profile, Research) that it would abandon the HD DVD format and only stock its shelves with Blu-ray movies.
A source at Toshiba confirmed an earlier report by public broadcaster NHK that it was getting ready to pull the plug.
"We have entered the final stage of planning to make our exit from the next generation DVD business," said the source, who asked not to be identified. He added that an official announcement could come as early as next week.
No one answered the phone at Toshiba's public relations office in Tokyo.
Bayer, Onyx Stop Cancer Trial on Higher Death Rate
(Bloomberg) -- Bayer AG, Germany's biggest drugmaker, and U.S. partner Onyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. stopped a late-stage test of their Nexavar cancer drug in lung tumors because of a higher death rate among some of the patients.
An independent committee that monitors trials advised the companies that the treatment wouldn't meet the main goal of the test, Leverkusen-based Bayer said today in a statement on PRNewswire.
Bond Insurer Split May Trigger Lawsuits, Analysts Say
(Bloomberg) -- Regulators' plans to break up bond insurers into ``good'' businesses covering municipal debt and ``bad'' businesses liable to subprime-related losses may trigger ``years of litigation,'' Bank of America Corp. analysts said.
New York Insurance Department Superintendent Eric Dinallo and New York Governor Eliot Spitzer said last week that insurers may need to be divided if they can't raise enough capital to compensate for losses on subprime-mortgage guarantees. FGIC Corp., the fourth-largest of the so-called monoline insurers, asked to be split on Feb. 15 after Moody's Investors Service cut the Stamford, Connecticut-based company's top Aaa ranking.
``Despite the regulatory interest in separating the exposures, the essential fact remains that all policy holders, whether municipal or structured finance, entered into contracts backed by the entire entity,'' analysts led by Jeffrey Rosenberg in New York wrote in a note to investors dated Feb. 15. A breakup is ``likely to lead to significant legal challenges holding up the resolution of the monoline issues for years.''
FGIC, owned by Blackstone Group LP and PMI Group Inc., insures about $314 billion of debt, including $220 billion in municipal bonds. The company said last week it applied for a license from New York state insurance regulators to create a standalone municipal company and separate the unit that guarantees subprime-mortgage bonds and related securities that led to rating downgrades.
New York-based Ambac Financial Group Inc., the second- largest bond insurer, may also seek a split, the Wall Street Journal reported today, citing a person familiar with the situation.
Friday, February 15, 2008
U.S. Stock-Index Futures Fall; Bear Stearns, Caterpillar Drop
(Bloomberg) -- U.S. stock-index futures fell after analysts said banks face up to $203 billion more in credit writedowns and former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan warned the economy is on the verge of a recession.
Futures extended declines after a Fed report showed manufacturing in New York unexpectedly declined for the first time in almost three years and the Labor Department said prices of imported goods climbed more than economists had forecast.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Bear Stearns Cos. dropped after UBS AG said banks are at risk of further losses as bond insurers such as MBIA Inc. and Ambac Financial Group Inc. face credit-ratings cuts. Caterpillar Inc., the world's largest maker of earthmoving machines, led a decline in industrial shares after Greenspan said the economy may shrink for the first time in six years. European stocks fell and Asia's benchmark rose.
``The banks are now looking into the headlights like worried rabbits,'' said David Buik, market analyst at BGC Partners in London, in an interview with Bloomberg Television. ``They don't know how much money they've lost, the size of their balance sheets has collapsed.''
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