Monday, February 11, 2008

Platinum leaps over $1 900

(Fin24) - Platinum cleared the $1 900 an
ounce mark on Monday for the first time in its history as concerns of further supply disruptions due to power shortages continued to plague the market.


The precious white metal gained $27 to trade at $1 917.50 an ounce by 13:45 after hitting $1 890 in late after-market trade on Friday.


Additionally, Eskom's prediction that power supply problems were likely to continue for several weeks made "further gains seem inevitable with the metal potentially testing $2 000/oz in the not too distant future," said James Moore of TheBullionDesk.


South Africa's ongoing electricity concerns have already seen several precious metals producers warn that their output would drop in 2008, as Eskom restricted mines operating in the country to a power supply that equated to 90% of their average requirements.
 

SocGen launches rights issue at deep discount

(Reuters) - Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) launched a 5.5 billion euros ($7.97 billion) capital increase on Monday to plug holes in its balance sheet following a rogue trading scandal.

The one-for-four rights issue at 47.50 euros per share offers a discount of 38.9 percent to Friday's closing price.

"The price is very low. The feedback from the market cannot have been very encouraging. As they can't miss this deal they decided to strike very low," said Landsbanki Kepler banking analyst Pierre Flabbee.

Fund managers contacted by Reuters last week had been looking for a discount of up to 30 percent.

The bank's shares fell 3 percent to 75.40 euros by 1156 GMT with France's benchmark CAC 40 index .FCHI down 0.5 percent.

SocGen revealed plans to tap investors on January 24 when it stunned the financial world with 4.9 billion euros of rogue trading losses blamed on a single trader.
 

IMF sees sharp U.S. slowdown

(Reuters) - Economic slowdown in the United States will be significant and will last for some time, the head of the International Monetary Fund said on Monday, calling for a coordinated response to financial turmoil around the world.

While it was unclear how long the crisis facing international banks over subprime losses would last, complex financial links between regions may mean emerging economies could also be hit if the situation worsened, IMF Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said in a speech.

Uncertainties facing markets and policymakers included a possible worsening of the U.S. housing market, which would hurt consumption, and any more disclosures from European banks on losses resulting from the market turbulence.

"The problem is today we have unknown unknowns," he said at the start of a three-day visit to India.

Last month, the IMF cut its forecast for world growth this year in the face of continued stress in global credit markets, and warned that economic activity could slow even further.

The IMF chief said the main reasons for the revision were the weak growth outlook in the United States and Europe.
 

Yang's $2 Blackjack Limit, EBay Failure Leave Yahoo Unprepared

(Bloomberg) -- Fourteen years after publishing his first guide to the Internet from a Stanford University trailer, Jerry Yang isn't ready to see his creation absorbed by the world's largest software company.

Yahoo! Inc.'s 39-year-old co-founder survived the dot-com bust and weathered failed efforts to challenge EBay Inc. in online auctions and Google Inc. in Web searches. He and the board plan to reject Microsoft Corp.'s $44.6 billion bid today, a person familiar with the decision said, leaving Yang to battle to keep his Sunnyvale, California-based company independent.

While the offer lifted Yang's net worth by more than a half-billion dollars, money means little to Yang, former executives say. He spent his career building the most-visited U.S. Web site. Yang took his first crack at being chief executive officer in June, aiming to reclaim the company's dominance on the Internet.

``It's his baby,'' said Steve Mitgang, a Yahoo senior vice president who left last year to run Web TV company Veoh Networks Inc. in San Diego. ``He wants to win, and he wants to fight to win.''

The board spent a week reviewing the $31-per-share offer before deciding it was too low, said the person, who declined to be identified because the discussions aren't public. Yahoo wants at least $40, the Wall Street Journal reported this weekend.

Yahoo spokeswoman Diana Wong said over the weekend the company doesn't comment on rumors or speculation. Microsoft spokesman Bill Cox declined to comment.

In rejecting the offer, Yang confronts Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer and Yahoo investors whose stock tumbled by half in the past two years. Redmond, Washington-based Microsoft's $31-a- share offer on Feb. 1 was 62 percent higher than Yahoo's price before.

`Uncouth' Name

In an e-mail to his 14,000 employees last week, Yang said Yahoo was weighing its options. Analysts including Gartner Inc.'s Andrew Frank in New York said alternatives like linking up with Google or News Corp. won't work. Investors like Firsthand Capital Management's Kevin Landis said Microsoft made a ``fair offer.''

Born in Taiwan, Yang was brought to the U.S. when he was 10. He worked in the Stanford library to help fund his undergraduate education.

Yang and David Filo cooked up what became Yahoo in 1994 as graduate students. ``Jerry and David's Guide to the World Wide Web,'' used to keep track of their interests on the Internet, became a popular Web page in Silicon Valley. By the end of 1994, the site got more than 1 million hits a day.

Venture capital firm Sequoia Capital invested $2 million to help the duo build Yahoo, a name they picked because of its definition: ``rude, unsophisticated, uncouth.''

``He cares deeply about the thing he created in that trailer with Filo,'' said Rob Solomon, who worked at Yahoo for six years and is now CEO of the travel site SideStep Inc. in Santa Clara, California. ``They thought they could build a really big, new type of company, and they did.''

Too Rich

Yang wasn't available to comment, said spokeswoman Tracy Schmaler. Filo, responsible for the technical aspects of Yahoo's biggest sites, also wasn't available.

After Yahoo's initial public offering in 1996, sales jumped from $20 million to more than $1 billion in 2000 as advertisers rushed to tap the Internet's popularity. Yang and Filo were each worth more than $4 billion, according to Forbes magazine.

Wealth didn't turn Yang into a big spender, said John Cecil, a former Yahoo salesman. At a Las Vegas conference in 1998, the two were playing blackjack with Yahoo employees. Yang refused to bet more than $2 a hand, Cecil said.

``He said, `It's too rich for my blood,''' said Cecil, now president of the online ad company Innovate Media in Costa Mesa, California.

EBay Wins

Three years of surging sales lifted Yahoo's value past $100 billion, then the technology market crashed, wiping out 97 percent of Yahoo's worth. While the collapse sent Pets.com Inc. and Webvan Group Inc. into bankruptcy, Yahoo survived and began growing again in 2002.

Bigger competitors were emerging, crimping Yahoo's ability to expand beyond selling banner ads on Web pages. San Jose, California-based EBay became the dominant auction site. Google's search engine was pulling ad spending to a business that Yahoo lacked.

Solomon, 41, who ran the auction business, told Yang that Yahoo would be better suited investing elsewhere.

``The auction wars were won, and he didn't want to give up,'' Solomon said. ``That's not him being obstinate. It's him pushing us to come back with creative solutions and being tough.'' Yahoo closed the auction site last year.
 

Credit Suisse Topples UBS, Dodges `Subprime Bullet'

(Bloomberg) -- Credit Suisse Group is earning more than UBS AG for the first time in almost a decade after Chief Executive Officer Brady Dougan avoided the writedowns that forced his rival to report the biggest-ever quarterly loss by a bank.

Credit Suisse may report tomorrow that net income fell 69 percent in the fourth quarter to 1.43 billion Swiss francs ($1.29 billion), according to the median estimate of 11 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. UBS, which marked down $14 billion on securities infected by U.S. subprime mortgages, gives details of its 12.5 billion-franc quarterly loss on Feb. 14.

Dougan, a former derivatives trader who became Credit Suisse's CEO in May after making investment banking the company's most profitable unit, scaled back debt holdings before the slump led to more than $145 billion in writedowns and loan losses at the world's biggest banks. By contrast, Marcel Rohner was named UBS's CEO in July after three quarters of declining earnings, the collapse of a hedge fund and the ouster of his predecessor.

``Credit Suisse is clearly the better positioned of the two,'' said Florian Esterer, who helps oversee $56 billion at Swisscanto Asset Management in Zurich, where both companies are based. ``There are still some tough times ahead for UBS.''

UBS, the world's biggest wealth manager, said Jan. 30 it had a net loss of 4.4 billion francs in 2007, the first time it earned less than Credit Suisse since being created in a merger in 1998. Credit Suisse, which posted losses in 2001 and 2002, had an 8.65 billion-franc profit last year, analysts estimate.

Wall Street Losses

Credit Suisse earned about 1 billion francs in the fourth quarter and 8.2 billion francs in 2007, Sonntag newspaper said Feb. 10, citing an unidentified ``reliable source.'' Credit Suisse spokesman Marc Dosch declined to comment on the report.

Like New York-based Merrill Lynch & Co., Citigroup Inc. and Morgan Stanley, which also reported record losses in Wall Street's worst ever quarter, UBS has turned to sovereign funds to shore up its finances. The Swiss bank will seek shareholders' approval on Feb. 27 to sell 13 billion francs in bonds that will convert to shares to investors in Singapore and the Middle East.

Credit Suisse fell 0.1 percent to 57 francs at 11:04 a.m. in Zurich trading, and UBS declined 1.7 percent to 40.3 francs. UBS has dropped 50 percent in the past year, making it the fourth-worst performer in the 60-member Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index. Credit Suisse is down 36 percent.

UBS is rated ``sell'' by 11 of 41 analysts tracked by Bloomberg, a rating awarded by six of 37 analysts covering Credit Suisse.

`Dodged the Bullet'

``I think Credit Suisse will have dodged the subprime bullet,'' said Dieter Buchholz, who helps manage $107 billion at AIG Private Bank in Zurich, including Credit Suisse shares. Chairman Walter Kielholz has signaled the bank probably won't have large charges in the quarter.

Credit Suisse's results may be more similar to those of Frankfurt-based Deutsche Bank AG than UBS, Buchholz said. Germany's biggest bank said last week it avoided writedowns from the subprime market and reported a 44 million-euro ($64 million) markdown on leveraged loans.

Managers at Credit Suisse's SPS mortgage-servicing unit alerted the executive board more than a year ago to concerns about subprime assets. By the end of 2006, the company had originated about 40 percent fewer subprime mortgages than in 2005, according to Dougan.

``The hardest thing in all of these is not just seeing the issue but taking action,'' Dougan, 48, told business leaders in Zurich on Feb. 5. ``It's always very difficult to say no.''
 

Ford May Cut 9,000 More U.S. Plant Jobs, Person Says

 (Bloomberg) -- Ford Motor Co., the world's third- largest automaker, may eliminate as many as 9,000 more U.S. factory jobs through its latest buyout offers, a person with direct knowledge of the situation said.

The cuts would be in addition to the 33,600 union workers who left through buyouts and early retirements in 2006 and 2007, when Ford lost a combined $15.3 billion. Further reductions may help Ford restore profit by speeding the hiring of new workers who would be paid about half as much as current employees.

``These are realistic numbers,'' said Harley Shaiken, a labor professor at the University of California at Berkeley. ``Workers are reassessing their options. It is a very tough choice.''

Ford doesn't have an estimate of how many workers will accept the buyouts, proposed to a first group of workers last month, the person said. The Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker won't limit the number who leave if more than the target range of 8,000 to 9,000 opt for the offers, the person said.

Marcey Evans, a Ford spokeswoman, declined to comment. Roger Kerson, a spokesman for the United Auto Workers union, didn't return telephone messages. The Detroit Free Press reported Feb. 9 that Ford had an internal target of 8,000, citing people familiar with the objective. That reduction would represent more than 12 percent of the carmaker's North American factory workers.

Ford's employment fell to 64,000 at the end of last year at North American plants from 99,500 two years earlier. That decline includes the 33,600 UAW-represented jobs shed through the buyout and retirement offers.

New Contract

Ford and the UAW in November agreed on a contract that permits the company to pay lower wages for new hires while keeping open five factories targeted for closure. Under the four-year agreement, Ford can pay up to 20 percent of its U.S. factory workers the reduced wage.

Under the accord, Ford's hourly costs for new workers will be $26 to $31, or about half the $60 expense for a current UAW member's wages and benefits.

Before any new, lower-paid workers can be hired, Ford must resolve the fate of workers at closed factories and at its Automotive Components Holdings unit. Automotive Components includes factories Ford took back from former parts subsidiary Visteon Corp. Most of those plants are being closed or sold, and some of the UAW-represented employees may go to Ford plants.

UAW workers at Automotive Components are eligible for buyouts. The outcome of the buyout program will determine how many of those employees are reassigned to Ford factories.

Ford has about 54,000 UAW-represented employees, with about 12,000 eligible to retire.

Savings

UAW President Ron Gettelfinger last month estimated that new contracts at Ford, General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC will save the automakers ``somewhere in the neighborhood'' of $1,000 per vehicle. Buyouts of higher paid workers will help Ford increase the number of new hires at lower wage levels.

Ford hopes to reach the 9,000 target through offers pending at four closed U.S. plants that will be broadened to other U.S. factories next week.

Workers at St. Louis; Edison, New Jersey; Norfolk, Virginia; and Atlanta began considering buyouts Jan. 22 and have a ``buyout window'' running through Feb. 28, Ford said Jan. 24 when it released 2007 year-end earnings. Workers from that group who accept buyouts are to leave the company by March 1.

Workers at those sites are being offered buyouts or relocation to other Ford plants. Workers who don't accept either choice will be placed on a ``no-pay, no-benefit leave,'' Ford's Evans said. That leave would last as long as their employment with Ford, she said.
 

Societe Generale Plans Offer to Raise EU5.5 Billion

(Bloomberg) -- Societe Generale SA plans to raise 5.5 billion euros ($8 billion) by selling stock at a lower price than analysts estimated to replenish capital after the worst trading loss in banking history.

France's second-biggest bank will sell shares in a rights offer at 47.50 euros each, or 39 percent less than the Feb. 8 closing price, according to a statement today. Analysts had expected a discount of as much as 30 percent. Existing shareholders can buy one share for every four held.

Societe Generale fell as much as 6.3 percent in Paris trading to 72.83 euros. The offer comes less than three weeks after the bank said bets by Jerome Kerviel had led to a 4.9 billion-euro trading loss. Societe Generale said today that net income last year fell to 947 million euros from 5.2 billion euros in 2006.

``This rights issue is a matter of life or death,'' said Pierre Flabbee, an analyst at Kepler Equities in Paris, who has a ``reduce'' rating on the stock. The discount ``doesn't show great confidence in selling the shares,'' he said.

Societe Generale fell 2.60 euros, or 3.4 percent, to 75.12 euros in Paris trading as of 12:50 a.m. The shares have declined 24 percent this year, giving the company a market value of 35 billion euros.

The Paris-based bank said the rights offer will increase its Tier 1 capital ratio, a measure of its ability to cover unexpected losses, from 6.6 percent at the end of December to 8 percent. It will also use the cash for ``sustained and balanced growth,'' maintaining lending in France and expanding in Russia, Eastern and Central Europe, the Mediterranean, India and Brazil.

Earnings Fall

The bank announced the trading loss and 2.05 billion euros of writedowns linked to risky U.S. mortgages on Jan. 24, the same day it estimated that 2007 profit would be between 600 million and 800 million euros. It raised that forecast today after lifting its debt valuation.

Operating income, including the losses that Societe Generale blames on Kerviel, fell to 1.8 billion euros from 8 billion euros in 2006. Today's figures aren't audited. Full results will be announced Feb. 21.

``The net profit figure is anecdotal compared with what's at stake,'' said Benoit de Broissia, a fund manager at Richelieu Finance in Paris, which owns Societe Generale shares.

Societe Generale said the corporate and investment banking units lost 2.22 billion euros in 2007, down from a 2.34 billion euro profit the previous year. It reported gains from private banking and its French and overseas retail-banking networks.

Bouton Stays

Although Societe Generale Chairman Daniel Bouton offered to resign after the trading loss was announced, the board has twice voted to retain him. The 57-year-old, who has been chairman or chief executive officer since 1993, will only step down once the share sale and trading scandal are resolved, said Axel Pierron, Paris-based senior analyst at Celent, a financial research firm.

``They will wait until there is some return to normalcy,'' he said. ``Finding someone with Bouton's experience isn't easy.''

Societe Generale has become a takeover candidate. BNP Paribas SA, France's largest bank, has said it's considering an offer, while the country's No. 3 lender, Credit Agricole SA, appointed advisers to study a bid, people involved in the talks said. While the government has said it wants Societe Generale to remain French, it has no legal means to block a takeover.

`Staying Independent'

The increase in borrowing costs in the past six months might deter bidders from financing an offer, Pierron said.

``If this had happened a year ago it might have been different, but the lack of liquidity in the market may help Societe Generale stay independent,'' Pierron said. ``With the rights issue, it certainly has the means to stay independent.''

Societe Generale said it's aiming for an improvement in gross operating profit of at least 1 billion euros by 2010 and repeated that it will pay a dividend of 45 percent of net income from 2008 to 2010. The ``key strengths and profit-making capacities remain intact,'' it said.

The rights will trade separately on Euronext during the subscription period from Feb. 21 to Feb. 29. The new shares will carry dividend rights from the start of 2008. Each right is worth 5.9 euros, the bank estimated.

``We're going to participate,'' said Neuflize Banque fund manager Emmanuel Soupre, who owns Societe Generale shares. ``Societe Generale's client portfolio remains of high quality.''

The offering, which is guaranteed by investment banks, is lead managed by JPMorgan Chase & Co., Morgan Stanley and Societe Generale's own investment bank. Credit Suisse Group and Merrill Lynch & Co. are co-book runners.